Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.071089 0.083343 0.097026 0.113431 0.132561 0.154163 0.180409
2026-01-04 0.055137 0.071017 0.090424 0.115867 0.148333 0.188371 0.241513
2026-01-11 0.043704 0.061198 0.084362 0.117229 0.162641 0.223162 0.309983
2026-01-18 0.034830 0.052634 0.077988 0.116647 0.174049 0.256108 0.382380
2026-01-25 0.027335 0.044312 0.070165 0.112275 0.179071 0.280881 0.447906
2026-02-01 0.021558 0.037296 0.062795 0.106942 0.181362 0.301684 0.511041
2026-02-08 0.017726 0.032573 0.058048 0.104714 0.187925 0.329966 0.590862
2026-02-15 0.014622 0.028431 0.053432 0.101707 0.192417 0.355285 0.669879
2026-02-22 0.012674 0.025977 0.051297 0.102647 0.203946 0.394559 0.780326
2026-03-01 0.010892 0.023468 0.048564 0.101878 0.211999 0.428577 0.886581
2026-03-08 0.009150 0.020679 0.044752 0.098210 0.213571 0.450203 0.971968
2026-03-15 0.007968 0.018843 0.042541 0.097416 0.220832 0.484219 1.088279
2026-03-22 0.007188 0.017819 0.042042 0.100628 0.238170 0.544021 1.274657
2026-03-29 0.006537 0.016968 0.041787 0.104415 0.257702 0.612433 1.493984
2026-04-05 0.005876 0.015952 0.040961 0.106727 0.274360 0.677607 1.718905
2026-04-12 0.005192 0.014726 0.039389 0.106905 0.285929 0.733104 1.931677
2026-04-19 0.004437 0.013140 0.036581 0.103340 0.287344 0.764217 2.089848
2026-04-26 0.003758 0.011607 0.033603 0.098704 0.285029 0.785542 2.227049
2026-05-03 0.003284 0.010564 0.031752 0.096824 0.289916 0.826718 2.426031
2026-05-10 0.002853 0.009548 0.029770 0.094154 0.292047 0.860879 2.612399
2026-05-17 0.002588 0.008994 0.029041 0.095099 0.305062 0.928071 2.907472
2026-05-24 0.002312 0.008340 0.027870 0.094435 0.313078 0.982351 3.174980
2026-05-31 0.002008 0.007514 0.025981 0.091061 0.311899 1.009017 3.363159